Severe Storm Potential Later This Afternoon and Evening

Good afternoon, it is shaping up to be a warm afternoon across Indiana and Ohio.  Temperatures mainly in the 70s and 80s, with cooler 60s across far northern Indiana where showers and thunderstorms moved through earlier in the day.  Currently a few showers on radar across west-central Indiana.Slide1

We are still watching for the potential for severe weather.  Slight risk of severe storms remain for the northern half of Indiana and extreme northwest Ohio, with a marginal risk of severe storms for the southern half of Indiana and western Ohio.  Slide8

As far as the timing of thunderstorms through the rest of today, new development of showers and thunderstorms should begin in a few hours across Illinois and should move into Indiana between 8 and 9 pm.  Another area of showers and thunderstorms could develop across southern Indiana and move into southwest Ohio and weaken as daytime heating is loss.  The line of storms as they move into Indiana will become somewhat broken and more scattered about.   Storms should move across Kokomo and Indy between 10 and 11 pm and the Anderson and Muncie areas between 11 pm and midnight with what is left of the storms to move into Ohio between 10 pm and 1 am.  Storms as they move into Ohio will continue to weaken and storms, whatever left of them will move out of Ohio by 3 or 4 am.  You can see how the storms will evolve in time below…

This slideshow requires JavaScript.

Finally, with the threat of severe storms, we need to talk threats, the primary threat of severe storms will be damaging winds, but large hail and isolated tornadoes will also be possible.  The area that could see the highest tornado potential will be along and north of a Tipton-Elwood-Alexandria-Gaston-Eaton line where low-level shear will be highest.  At this point we do not anticipate going to a higher alert mode ala the “Weather Alert Day” mode, but we will continue to monitor the radar and have continued updates on the Facebook page.  To summarize, we do not expect all areas to see severe weather, but the potential remains especially in the slight risk area, we don’t even expect all areas to see thunderstorms, it will be a 50/50 coverage of storms for late this afternoon through the evening and early overnight hours.  Continue to remain weather aware however and have a great rest of your Wednesday!Slide10