Good evening, a beautiful day has shaped in across the state. Temperatures at the 5 pm hour range from the mid 70s northeast to the mid 80s southwest. Conditions for tonight will be dry and even as we head into the first half of Labor Day will be dry, but there is the potential for severe storms as there is a slight risk of severe storms for northern and central Indiana. A marginal risk of severe storms for areas a bit further south. A strong cold front will approach the area from the northwest and move southeast Monday afternoon and evening. Showers and thunderstorms will develop and with deep shear, moderate instability, dewpoints that will return to the upper 60s to lower 70s, severe storms will be possible. Damaging winds and large hail will be the primary threat, but as the initial storms develop across northern Indiana, can not rule out a tornado or two, especially if storms can become supercellular in nature. Timing out the storms in Futurecast, storms will likely develop in northeast Illinois and/or northwest Indiana in the afternoon hours, between the hours of 2 and 4 pm and move southeast. Storms will likely become severe after 6 pm as storms congeal into a squall line. The following are possible times of arrival for storms…
Lafayette, Kokomo, Fort Wayne 8-9 pm; Muncie, Anderson, Terre Haute, Indianapolis 9-10 pm; Bloomington 10-11 pm; Evansville (in a weaken state) 11-midnight CDT.
So for Monday, stay weather aware, I would not cancel your plans, as there will be lots of dry time and for most, storms will not arrive until the evening hours. We will also likely go under a Severe Weather Alert Day. Be sure to check out and like the Facebook page and also to follow us on Twitter. We will have another update Monday morning!