Good afternoon, it’s a little after 1 pm on Wednesday, May 10. A look at the satellite and temperatures showing some areas of clearing across Central Indiana, with a some clouds. Temperatures ranging from the mid 60s to around 70 north of I-70, to the 70s to lower 80s south.
The latest update from the Storm Prediction Center now places a slight risk of severe weather for later this afternoon into the evening for much of Central Indiana. A marginal risk remains for east-central Indiana, but thinking that evening this area could be under the slight risk in future outlooks.
Instability is also now on the increase, with SBCAPEs over 1,000 J/kg for areas southwest of Indy. These numbers will continue to increase through the afternoon hours to near 2,000 J/kg by this evening.
A look at FutureCast from 3 pm Wednesday to 5 am Thursday show isolated storms begin to develop, then as we head into the evening hours, storms will become more widespread. By 10 pm, showers and thunderstorms will be approaching from the west in Illinois, and will move into the state by 11 pm and rapidly moving across the state, heading into Ohio by 2 am. Additional storms may linger in spots until the early morning hours of Thursday.
In addition to the severe weather potential, heavy rainfall will also be possible, with some areas could see close to or over 2 inches of rain through 5 am Thursday morning. Some minor flash flooding could be possible tonight.
To close out this blog, as far as severe weather threats, for much of the area, I think that all modes will be in play, especially storms that one develop along and north of the front, and two storms that become supercellular in nature. Overall, I think the main threat will be damaging winds and large hail. Be sure to keep it tuned on the Equinox Weather Facebook page through the rest of the afternoon hours for more updates.