Isolated Severe Threat Later Today

Good morning, wanted to do a quick blog post about the potential for severe storms later in the day today.  First as of the 9 am Convective Outlook released by the Storm Prediction Center, there is a marginal risk for severe storms for roughly western Indiana.  The main threat will be isolated damaging winds.

Slide12

While typically in an ideal severe weather set up, you want storms to develop and move through during peak heating, peak heating will be already past by the time the storms enter into Indiana, which you will see in a bit with FutureCast.  But what will be in the favor for the isolated severe storms will be deepening shear and a slight increase in low-level moisture.

According to FutureCast radar below, storms will approaching west-central Indiana by 5 pm and will move into the state by 6 pm.  Storms will continue to increase in intensity and by 7, storms isolated severe storms will be possible, especially in the circled area near the Terre Haute area.  By 8pm, with you can see what the loss of daytime heating do to the storms as they just as rapidly decrease in coverage.  Back to the south and west, a second area of storms will approach west-central Indiana by 9 pm and move northeast into Central Indiana by 10 pm, with another batch of isolated severe storms possible.  The second batch of storms will also gradually weaken as they move northeast and will move out of Central Indiana by midnight.  East-central Indiana at this point will likely miss out on most of the precipitation until after midnight as the front moves closer.

This slideshow requires JavaScript.

Rainfall potential through Midnight could see areas near Terre Haute see over an inch of rain, with lighter amounts to the northeast, and east-central Indiana seeing little or no precipitation through Midnight.  For further updates through the afternoon hours, be sure to like the Equinox Weather Facebook page.

Advertisements