Good afternoon, we are continuing to monitor the potential for strong to severe storms beginning late this evening and will continue into the day on Tuesday.
A look at the current conditions at 3 pm is showing area of low clouds and some fog moving from southwest to northeast across the state. Temperatures are in the mid to upper 50s where the sun has been out most of the day, with cooler temperatures in the 40s where clouds have stuck around since the mid to late morning hours. Warm front has nearly cleared the state as of the 2 pm surface analysis.
The latest Convective Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center shows the slight risk of severe storms from late tonight into early Tuesday morning across the southwest portion of the state, with a marginal risk for much of the rest of the state, mainly south of a Cedar Lake-Rochester-Bluffton line. The primary threat of these storms will be large hail as these storms will mainly be elevated, however if any storm can get surfaced based, damaging winds can not be ruled out.
As we time things out from 7 pm this evening through 7 am Tuesday morning, a few isolated showers could develop and move northeast. As the evening goes on, we should begin to see thunderstorm development down in the southwest portion of the state and move to the northeast. After midnight, storms could become more widespread and winds should also begin to increase out of the southwest that could gust up to 30 mph. Heavy rainfall will also be possible at times. First batch of storms should move out of the state between 5 and 7 am as new storms could develop. Be sure to stay tuned on the Facebook page for more updates on any watches and warnings that may be issued during the late evening and overnight hours.